Happy Monday!

Happy Monday, everybody! 🎉The https://www.rithmm.com/ NFL model served us well Sunday, going 9-4 for +5 units of profit. 💰That’s after a good college football Saturday. We’re back today with a slightly smaller newsletter thanks to MLB taking the day off before the playoffs start, but fear not; we loaded you up with plenty of football. We can’t stress enough the need to follow us on Twitter/X @give_me_wins because if you didn’t, you missed running to the pay window all weekend. 🏦 If you wish to keep track of the daily and historical performance of the GIVE ME WINS team, head to https://app.sportsdatanow.com/capper-profile?cid=GIVE%20ME%20WINS. This is our profile at our independent results tracking service, Sports Data Now. Well, that’s enough small talk; let’s dive right in and tell you how we’re slaying the books today! 😎

Here’s what’s on tap:

• How we’re playing MNF & an NFL side for Week 5 to lock in now 🏈

• A CFB total for Saturday that should hit with room to spare 🤜 🤛

Here we go!

Breaking down how the speed of Jalin Hyatt & gravitational pull of Darren Waller leads to big plays.

I said in a preseason breakdown that the Giants would throw the post because of Jalin Hyatt. They threw the post. pic.twitter.com/rvuSCnMha1

— Bobby Skinner (@BobbySkinner_) September 18, 2023

NFL Sides: Daniel Jones will finally get his first win on MNF

As we tie a bow around an exciting Week 4 of NFL action, we want to bring you a spot we like in tonight’s MNF matchup, as well as a play for Week 5 that needs to be locked in now because we believe this line will move in the wrong direction as the week progresses. As always, these plays are courtesy of our incredible NFL model made possible by the brilliant people at https://www.rithmm.com/. Please check out their website and build sports betting models of your very own to add to your handicapping toolbox.

Giants +2 (-110) vs. Seahawks: Our https://www.rithmm.com/ loves the Giants in this spot, making them a one-point favorite without RB Saquon Barkley and LT Andrew Thomas. With the return of left guard Ben Bredeson, New York should gain some stability on the interior of the offensive line, which should allow quarterback Daniel Jones to step up in the pocket and make plays with both his arms and his legs. While the tackle spots have to be a concern without Thomas, Josh Ezudu has filled in adequately for Thomas and will allow Big Blue to give help to struggling RT Evan Neal. That said, the Seahawks have just five sacks on the season and will not challenge the G-Men O-line the way the Cowboys and 49ers did in their losses this season. Couple that with key depth/rotation pieces at cornerback not being available, and we look for New York to have a big game through the air against the Seahawks' 32nd-ranked pass defense while mixing in just enough in the run game against Seattle’s tough run defense to keep them honest. As for the Seahawks' offense, they should have plenty of moments against a Giants defense that has tackled poorly all season, but that offense is extremely banged up and is having an even harder time dealing with the loss of their LT, Charles Cross than the Giants are in dealing with the loss of Thomas. New York also has the extra rest and time to devise an offensive game plan to beat the Seattle defense. Put this all together, and it looks like the Giants should prevail in a high-scoring and entertaining game at Met Life Stadium. On that note, the over might be a good play at 46.5. It’s not a play for us, but we think that's another good way to go if that’s where you're looking in this game.

Colts -1 (-110) vs. Titans: Let’s lock in -1 now while we can. We are already seeing -1.5 on the board, and it won’t be long before we see -2. Our https://www.rithmm.com/ model projects the Colts as almost a four-point favorite, giving this wager a 60% chance to win. Our power rankings ranked Indianapolis 21st in the NFL while we ranked the Titans at 28th going into Week 4, and nothing that happened in Tennessee’s win over a Bengals team with a hobbled Joe Burrow on Sunday changed our take on the Titans. Laying a point at home with the Colts is a bargain because they are the better team, and they are not being priced like it.

College Football Week 6: Look for a track meet to break out Lafayette

It’s never too early to get a jump on Week 6 in college football, so here’s a total to pounce on before the line moves.

Texas St. vs. Louisiana o66.5 (-112): This total is one of the highest on the board this week, yet it doesn’t feel like anywhere near enough. Both clubs put up points in bunches and play at a breakneck pace. Texas State’s games have averaged 72.4 points per game this season, while Louisiana’s have averaged just shy of 65. Auburn transfer quarterback TJ Finley has taken command of the fast-break Bobcats offense, which has speed and skill position talent in bunches. Of Texas State’s six scoring drives in their win last week over Southern Miss, three took less than 90 seconds. The Ragin’ Cajuns are tallying 450 yards and 35 points per game despite a -6 turnover differential, meaning they can score even more points if they limit the turnovers. Throw in that both of these clubs are poor defensive teams, with Louisiana ranking 100th nationally in scoring defense and Texas St. ranking 108th in total defense, and we’re hard-pressed to see how this game doesn’t reach the 70’s or even the 80’s. This spot is a bargain at 66.5. It’s a play for us to 69.5.

That’s a wrap gang. Let’s try and keep the good times rolling. Remember to follow us on Twitter/X @give_me_wins for all the bonus plays and updates from the GIVE ME WINS team. The MLB postseason starts tomorrow, so we’ll have plenty of baseball plays in the Tuesday newsletter, along with some football action. We’ll catch y’all tomorrow with the latest issue of the GIVE ME WINS newsletter. 👍